Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.036003 0.042190 0.048597 0.055688 0.063282 0.071139 0.079850
2025-12-14 0.027632 0.036598 0.046421 0.057810 0.070501 0.084077 0.099575
2025-12-21 0.021505 0.031982 0.044054 0.058593 0.075294 0.093596 0.114912
2025-12-28 0.019092 0.031062 0.045378 0.063081 0.083824 0.106902 0.134111
2026-01-04 0.014417 0.026600 0.041916 0.061489 0.084971 0.111557 0.143331
2026-01-11 0.011825 0.024400 0.040892 0.062519 0.088932 0.119219 0.155766
2026-01-18 0.009468 0.022132 0.039500 0.062870 0.091901 0.125584 0.166590
2026-01-25 0.007583 0.020228 0.038363 0.063362 0.094900 0.131872 0.177228
2026-02-01 0.005841 0.018213 0.036861 0.063223 0.096997 0.136997 0.186428
2026-02-08 0.003793 0.015159 0.033587 0.060534 0.095750 0.137994 0.190673
2026-02-15 0.002599 0.013316 0.031870 0.059766 0.096797 0.141653 0.197973
2026-02-22 0.001932 0.012358 0.031393 0.060614 0.099845 0.147697 0.208064
2026-03-01 0.001400 0.011575 0.031214 0.061983 0.103737 0.154998 0.219952
2026-03-08 0.001078 0.011227 0.031719 0.064326 0.108929 0.163947 0.233885
2026-03-15 0.000668 0.010334 0.031214 0.065172 0.112131 0.170427 0.244849
2026-03-22 0.000677 0.010977 0.033387 0.069914 0.120482 0.183297 0.263521
2026-03-29 0.000234 0.009255 0.031232 0.068234 0.120266 0.185482 0.269268
2026-04-05 0.000095 0.008631 0.030981 0.069321 0.123703 0.192198 0.280478
2026-04-12 0.000011 0.007824 0.030290 0.069691 0.126141 0.197637 0.290120
2026-04-19 NaN 0.007129 0.029729 0.070211 0.128749 0.203270 0.299981
2026-04-26 NaN 0.006298 0.028777 0.070064 0.130408 0.207672 0.308313
2026-05-03 NaN 0.004839 0.026208 0.067226 0.128262 0.207160 0.310548
2026-05-10 NaN 0.004042 0.024960 0.066415 0.128870 0.210124 0.317027